# Little Witch Survivors

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3630410
- Developer: 四月二酱
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $279 to $418 per month (mid $349)
- Opportunity score: $349/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 17.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $28.9k
- Review sentiment: 88% positive across 580 reviews (540 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 8.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 5 months ago
- Last build shipped 5 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 12 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $633 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $551 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $498 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $349 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

308, 62, 29, 63, 31, 17, 11, 8, 10, 1, 3

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 5 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 11 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$2.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 80%
- french: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 6%
- japanese: 4%
- brazilian: 0%
- german: 1%
- koreana: 5%
- russian: 3%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3630410
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.