# Sunbreak War

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3648260
- Developer: Candlelight Studio
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $8.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.2k to $1.8k per month (mid $1.5k)
- Opportunity score: $1.5k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.8k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $11.4k
- Review sentiment: 84% positive across 151 reviews (118 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 20.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.5k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

84, 20, 4, 6, 6, 2

## Markets by review language

- russian: 1%
- spanish: 1%
- japanese: 2%
- schinese: 86%
- german: 1%
- english: 6%
- koreana: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3648260
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.