# Good Luck

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3657240
- Developer: Happybara Games
- Publisher: Ultimate Games S.A.
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $310 to $464 per month (mid $387)
- Opportunity score: $387/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.0k
- Review sentiment: 78% positive across 76 reviews (38 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 9.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago
- 50% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $702 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $611 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $553 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $387 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

26, 2, 5, 4

## Markets by review language

- russian: 7%
- schinese: 10%
- brazilian: 14%
- german: 10%
- english: 41%
- koreana: 17%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3657240
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.