# Explosive Odds

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3674980
- Developer: Pig Bot Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $558 to $837 per month (mid $697)
- Opportunity score: $697/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $7.8k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 174 reviews (146 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 16.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $997 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $697 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

20, 12, 4, 2, 2, 2, 1, 41, 8, 34, 14

## Markets by review language

- german: 1%
- english: 96%
- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3674980
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.