# Balls Gone Wild

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3703930
- Developer: Tolya Dmitriev
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $0.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $211 to $316 per month (mid $263)
- Opportunity score: $422/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.6k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.2k
- Review sentiment: 83% positive across 116 reviews (112 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 31.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 16 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $478 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $416 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $377 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $263 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

127, 0, 0, 0

## Estimated acquisition range

$6.3k to $12.6k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $3.2k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 53%
- russian: 47% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 47% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3703930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
