# Forest Asylum 2

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3727830
- Developer: Michal Piotrowski
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $335 to $502 per month (mid $418)
- Opportunity score: $565/month at x1.35 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.6k
- Review sentiment: 98% positive across 55 reviews (48 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 10.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer silent for 13 months
- Studio quiet across its whole catalog
- Last build shipped 13 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $759 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $661 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $598 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $418 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (5 months)

37, 4, 6, 1, 2

## Estimated acquisition range

$10.0k to $20.1k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $5.0k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 5%
- german: 19%
- english: 53%
- koreana: 12% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 23% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: koreana). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3727830
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.