# FIRE STATE

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3738830
- Developer: UnderFire
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $9.90
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $17.1k to $25.6k per month (mid $21.3k)
- Opportunity score: $21.3k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 8.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $27.2k
- Review sentiment: 68% positive across 313 reviews (256 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 257.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 1 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $38.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $33.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $30.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $21.3k |

## Markets by review language

- german: 4%
- english: 34%
- koreana: 1%
- russian: 13%
- japanese: 1%
- schinese: 41%
- brazilian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 2%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3738830
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.