# Vital Shell

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3741860
- Developer: MarvinWizard
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.9k to $5.8k per month (mid $4.8k)
- Opportunity score: $4.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 53.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $106.8k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 1718 reviews (1662 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 96.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 1 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 6 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $8.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $7.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $6.9k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (7 months)

1102, 189, 112, 67, 51, 82, 77

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 7 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$2.8k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 93%
- koreana: 1%
- schinese: 0%
- russian: 2%
- spanish: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 1%
- brazilian: 1%
- french: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 0%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3741860
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.