# Twilight Moonflower

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3752230
- Developer: ConnectedShadowGames
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $586 to $879 per month (mid $732)
- Opportunity score: $1.2k/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 832 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.0k
- Review sentiment: 81% positive across 26 reviews (26 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Last build shipped 7 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $732 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

21, 4

## Estimated acquisition range

$17.6k to $35.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $8.8k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 4%
- koreana: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 75%
- schinese: 12%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3752230
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.