# 007 First Light

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3768760
- Developer: IO Interactive A/S
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $69.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $4.8M to $7.2M per month (mid $6.0M)
- Opportunity score: $6.0M/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 988.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $23.2M
- Review sentiment: 91% positive across 44173 reviews (30885 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 10190.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 1 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $10.9M |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $9.4M |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $8.5M |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $6.0M |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (3 months)

15124, 13377, 2069

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 3 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$4.5M net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- french: 2%
- german: 3%
- koreana: 2%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 0%
- schinese: 15%
- brazilian: 1%
- english: 65%
- russian: 10%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3768760
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.