# 彼氏の周りにいたら嫌な女友達を拳でわからせるゲーム

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3769790
- Developer: 園児ニア
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $173 to $259 per month (mid $216)
- Opportunity score: $346/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 992 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.7k
- Review sentiment: 88% positive across 34 reviews (31 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Last build shipped 8 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $392 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $341 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $309 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $216 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

23, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 6 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$84 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.2k to $10.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 93% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: japanese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3769790
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.