# Luckyest

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3803930
- Developer: Mobmonks
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $2.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $167 to $251 per month (mid $209)
- Opportunity score: $209/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 7.9k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $8.0k
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 252 reviews (248 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 8.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 5 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $379 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $330 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $299 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $209 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (11 months)

15, 30, 72, 64, 20, 17, 12, 6, 6, 5, 4

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3803930
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.