# The Piper of Dawn

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

**Measured on 2026-09-24 02:49 UTC.** The whole Steam catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move a lot between passes.

- Steam appid: 3804370
- Developer: Bone Nail
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Indie · List price: $12.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $5.5k to $8.2k per month (mid $6.8k)
- Opportunity score: $6.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $14.8k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 115 reviews (85 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 62.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Store page localized in only 4 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $12.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $10.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $9.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $6.8k |

## Markets by review language

- english: 4%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 2%
- schinese: 93%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier, 40-75x by year. Cohorts from 2020 on are calibrated against 182 sales milestones announced by developers; older ones follow the published Boxleiter tables. Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3804370
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when you publish or quote these estimates.