# The Strange Lights

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3823950
- Developer: JustTomcuk
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $703 to $1.1k per month (mid $878)
- Opportunity score: $1.4k/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 4.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $6.7k
- Review sentiment: 88% positive across 132 reviews (126 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 21.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio active elsewhere (11 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 6 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.6k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.4k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $878 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (6 months)

81, 23, 8, 7, 1, 6

## Estimated acquisition range

$21.1k to $42.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $10.5k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- spanish: 3%
- english: 51%
- japanese: 3%
- schinese: 4%
- brazilian: 1%
- french: 3%
- german: 5%
- koreana: 16%
- russian: 14%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3823950
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.