# Lythia: Sigil of Lust

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3835980
- Developer: capture 1
- Publisher: Crossroads RPG
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $978 to $1.5k per month (mid $1.2k)
- Opportunity score: $1.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $27.6k
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 116 reviews (103 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 5.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 10 months ago
- Last build shipped 10 months ago
- Store page localized in only 3 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $2.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.7k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

56, 8, 12, 8, 9, 10, 1, 5, 2

## Markets by review language

- french: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- german: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 38%
- koreana: 5% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 27%
- schinese: 23% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 35% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: schinese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3835980
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.