# 挂机手游模拟器

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3861280
- Developer: 天光
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $2.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $495 to $742 per month (mid $618)
- Opportunity score: $618/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 35.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $35.2k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 1109 reviews (1098 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 24.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Last build shipped 6 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $976 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $884 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $618 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (13 months)

101, 331, 144, 142, 151, 67, 33, 42, 32, 33, 9, 14, 18

## Markets by review language

- english: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- koreana: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 99%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3861280
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
