# Beta Kafe : Write Your Love Story

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3869090
- Developer: Cine-mo
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $785 to $1.2k per month (mid $981)
- Opportunity score: $1.5k/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $5.0k
- Review sentiment: 87% positive across 91 reviews (66 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 16.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago
- No Steam discount in 4.0 years (deepest tracked: -0%)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.6k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.4k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $981 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

43, 16, 4, 4

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 4 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$234 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Estimated acquisition range

$23.6k to $47.1k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $11.8k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 65%
- koreana: 12%
- russian: 12% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 6%
- schinese: 6%

Localization gap: 12% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3869090
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.