# Intuitive Level Design

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3895170
- Developer: Magic Beard Studios
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $290 to $435 per month (mid $363)
- Opportunity score: $363/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $5.6k
- Review sentiment: 81% positive across 54 reviews (52 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 10 months ago
- Last build shipped 10 months ago
- Store page localized in only 2 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $659 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $573 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $519 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $363 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (7 months)

24, 4, 9, 4, 5, 3, 1

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 3 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 7 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$1.5k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 21%
- russian: 79% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 79% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3895170
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
