# Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Pandora Tomorrow

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3929740
- Developer: Ubisoft
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $9.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.4k to $3.6k per month (mid $3.0k)
- Opportunity score: $4.8k/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 18.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $61.6k
- Review sentiment: 74% positive across 587 reviews (575 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 35.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio active elsewhere (15 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 11 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.4k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.7k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.3k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $3.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (10 months)

181, 64, 68, 34, 31, 74, 25, 25, 29, 31

## Estimated acquisition range

$72.0k to $144.0k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $36.0k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 5%
- english: 71%
- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- brazilian: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 5%
- russian: 8% (game NOT localized in this language)
- japanese: 0% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 3% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 19% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: russian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3929740
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.