# Don't Let It Starve

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3930510
- Developer: Eduardo Scarpato
- Publisher: Black Lantern Collective
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Simulation · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $4.5k to $6.7k per month (mid $5.6k)
- Opportunity score: $5.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 5.7k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $15.3k
- Review sentiment: 95% positive across 196 reviews (178 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 83.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 0 months ago, 2 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $10.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $8.8k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $8.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $5.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

130, 37

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 2 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.6k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- schinese: 2%
- brazilian: 6%
- french: 2%
- german: 3%
- english: 76%
- russian: 6%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 3%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3930510
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
