# Escape from Tarkov

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3932890
- Developer: Battlestate Games
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Action · List price: $49.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $731.9k to $1.1M per month (mid $914.9k)
- Opportunity score: $914.9k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.7M · Est. lifetime net revenue: $28.9M
- Review sentiment: 49% positive across 62186 reviews (53789 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 2183.2 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.7M |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $1.4M |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $1.3M |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $914.9k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

33747, 4650, 2851, 1800, 2163, 1563, 2172, 2499, 2902

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 9 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$7.7M net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 2%
- english: 26%
- koreana: 3%
- schinese: 25%
- french: 1%
- russian: 37%
- spanish: 2%
- japanese: 2%
- brazilian: 2%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3932890
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.