# Find 100 Ducks and Blast Them...IN SPACE!!!

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3951570
- Developer: Welcome Back Games
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Casual · List price: $7.49
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $352 to $527 per month (mid $440)
- Opportunity score: $440/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 928 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.3k
- Review sentiment: 95% positive across 39 reviews (29 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 7.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 4 months ago
- Last build shipped 4 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $798 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $694 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $628 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $440 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

17, 3, 3, 5

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 1 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 4 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$94 net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- german: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)
- english: 61%
- russian: 11%
- spanish: 4%
- schinese: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 14%

Localization gap: 11% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: schinese). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3951570
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.