# Leaf it Alone

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 3981100
- Developer: Eternity
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Casual · List price: $5.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $19.8k to $29.7k per month (mid $24.7k)
- Opportunity score: $24.7k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 185.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $372.4k
- Review sentiment: 96% positive across 6045 reviews (5794 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 492.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 7 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 4 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $44.9k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $39.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $35.4k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $24.7k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (10 months)

171, 1390, 435, 609, 392, 291, 469, 333, 286, 1186

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 10 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$22.5k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- russian: 16%
- spanish: 5%
- schinese: 4%
- brazilian: 4%
- english: 60%
- koreana: 3%
- japanese: 1%
- french: 3%
- german: 5%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/3981100
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.