# Witness the Dark - Episode 1 - Bloody Burger > ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title. **Measured on 2026-08-29 14:46 UTC.** The whole Steam catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move a lot between passes. - Steam appid: 411090 - Developer: Cold Narrative - Released: 2026 · Genre: Indie · List price: $8.99 - Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal) - Est. net residual revenue: $1.5k to $2.3k per month (mid $1.9k) - Opportunity score: $3.0k/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier - Est. lifetime owners: 1.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $3.0k - Review sentiment: 76% positive across 25 reviews (25 from Steam purchases) - Review velocity: 25.0 reviews/month (6-month average) ## Why it's flagged - No developer announcement on record, ever - Last build shipped 1 months ago ## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity) | Stage | USD/month | |---|---| | Gross storefront sales | $3.4k | | After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.0k | | After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.7k | | Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.9k | ## Estimated acquisition range $45.1k to $90.2k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $22.6k/year). Same error range applies. ## Markets by review language - french: 30% - english: 43% - koreana: 13% - russian: 4% - japanese: 4% - schinese: 4% ## Methodology Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier, 40-75x by year. Cohorts from 2020 on are calibrated against 182 sales milestones announced by developers; older ones follow the published Boxleiter tables. Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer. Source: https://residualplay.com/game/411090 Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when you publish or quote these estimates.