# The Promise Tree of Alden

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 4128860
- Developer: Tonguç Bodur
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Indie · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $174 to $261 per month (mid $217)
- Opportunity score: $348/month at x1.60 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 896 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.2k
- Review sentiment: 93% positive across 28 reviews (28 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 6.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 9 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $395 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $343 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $311 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $217 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (4 months)

16, 3, 5, 2

## Estimated acquisition range

$5.2k to $10.4k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $2.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 81% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 7% (game NOT localized in this language)
- schinese: 4% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4128860
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.