# Project: Mirror 2

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 4194020
- Developer: 430Games
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Casual · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: D (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $154 to $231 per month (mid $192)
- Opportunity score: $192/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 800 · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.3k
- Review sentiment: 55% positive across 31 reviews (25 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 4.6 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 8 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $349 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $304 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $275 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $192 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (5 months)

10, 6, 3, 3, 1

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4194020
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.