# Tennis Manager 26

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 4216650
- Developer: Rebound
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Action · List price: $39.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $3.7k to $5.5k per month (mid $4.6k)
- Opportunity score: $4.6k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $18.9k
- Review sentiment: 80% positive across 56 reviews (44 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 13.7 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 2 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $8.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $7.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $6.5k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $4.6k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (3 months)

19, 15, 7

## Markets by review language

- german: 14%
- english: 36%
- koreana: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 5%
- schinese: 7%
- brazilian: 10% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 24%

Localization gap: 14% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: brazilian). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4216650
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.