# Tavern Keeper 🍻

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 436780
- Developer: Greenheart Games 💚
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Indie · List price: $29.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $19.4k to $29.1k per month (mid $24.3k)
- Opportunity score: $24.3k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 143.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $1.4M
- Review sentiment: 94% positive across 4622 reviews (4479 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 96.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $44.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $38.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $34.7k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $24.3k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (9 months)

3125, 529, 300, 152, 103, 105, 97, 72, 50

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/436780
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.
