# Ambitious Road

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

**Measured on 2026-09-09 20:38 UTC.** The whole Steam catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move a lot between passes.

- Steam appid: 4429120
- Developer: 黒木道仁
- Publisher: Imperial Project
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Simulation · List price: $17.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.4k to $2.2k per month (mid $1.8k)
- Opportunity score: $2.4k/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 1.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $6.0k
- Review sentiment: 88% positive across 25 reviews (25 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 12.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $2.9k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.6k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $1.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

18, 6

## Estimated acquisition range

$43.4k to $86.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $21.7k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- japanese: 91%
- schinese: 9% (game NOT localized in this language)

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier, 40-75x by year. Cohorts from 2020 on are calibrated against 182 sales milestones announced by developers; older ones follow the published Boxleiter tables. Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4429120
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when you publish or quote these estimates.