# The First Million

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 4446010
- Developer: Sonderland
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Strategy · List price: $6.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $2.3k to $3.4k per month (mid $2.8k)
- Opportunity score: $2.8k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 3.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $7.4k
- Review sentiment: 75% positive across 99 reviews (98 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 48.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 1 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $5.2k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $4.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $4.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.8k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

62, 35

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- russian: 7%
- spanish: 1%
- schinese: 5%
- french: 1%
- german: 4%
- english: 80%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4446010
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.