# The Next Door

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 447850
- Developer: Labory
- Publisher: SA Industry
- Released: 2016 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $4.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $318 to $477 per month (mid $398)
- Opportunity score: $835/month at x2.10 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 24.1k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $25.8k
- Review sentiment: 49% positive across 1110 reviews (370 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 14.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- No developer announcement on record, ever
- Studio inactive: no public activity across 1 tracked titles
- Last build shipped 10.6 years ago
- 67% of reviews come from key activations (excluded from revenue estimates)
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $722 |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $628 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $569 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $398 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

5, 1, 5, 7, 7, 4, 1, 5, 4, 8, 7, 40, 18, 15, 17, 12, 10, 13, 10, 17, 24, 12, 11, 15

## Estimated acquisition range

$9.5k to $19.1k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $4.8k/year). Same error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/447850
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.