# POTENTIAL MAN

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

**Measured on 2026-09-01 15:47 UTC.** The whole Steam catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move a lot between passes.

- Steam appid: 4629600
- Developer: Noah McAdams
- Publisher: STUDIO HEATSEEK
- Released: 2026 · Genre: RPG · List price: $3.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.7k to $2.5k per month (mid $2.1k)
- Opportunity score: $2.7k/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 2.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $3.4k
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 63 reviews (63 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 63.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 0 months ago
- Last build shipped 0 months ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.8k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $3.0k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.1k |

## Estimated acquisition range

$50.6k to $101.3k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $25.3k/year). Same error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- english: 98% (game NOT localized in this language)
- spanish: 2% (game NOT localized in this language)

Localization gap: 100% of measured reviews are written in languages the game does not support (top: english). Localizing is likely immediate market expansion.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier, 40-75x by year. Cohorts from 2020 on are calibrated against 182 sales milestones announced by developers; older ones follow the published Boxleiter tables. Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4629600
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when you publish or quote these estimates.