# Fortune Mill

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 4731620
- Developer: Lavaflame2
- Released: 2026 · Genre: Casual · List price: $7.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $82.7k to $124.1k per month (mid $103.4k)
- Opportunity score: $103.4k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 106.3k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $284.8k
- Review sentiment: 82% positive across 3390 reviews (3322 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 1544.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 2 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $187.7k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $163.3k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $147.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $103.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (2 months)

2600, 488

## Markets by review language

- koreana: 2%
- russian: 6%
- spanish: 6%
- japanese: 2%
- schinese: 10%
- brazilian: 3%
- french: 4%
- german: 3%
- english: 64%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/4731620
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.