# 古剑奇谭二(GuJian2)

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 570770
- Developer: 上海烛龙信息科技有限公司
- Publisher: 北京网元圣唐娱乐科技有限公司
- Released: 2017 · Genre: RPG · List price: $15.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $481 to $722 per month (mid $601)
- Opportunity score: $902/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 150.5k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $517.4k
- Review sentiment: 77% positive across 3017 reviews (2737 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 7.0 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 3 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 9.0 years ago
- Store page localized in only 1 language(s)
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $1.1k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $950 |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $860 |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $601 |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

22, 14, 9, 7, 6, 15, 8, 4, 9, 4, 8, 16, 25, 18, 11, 15, 10, 12, 8, 3, 5, 8, 8, 10

## Estimated acquisition range

$14.4k to $28.9k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $7.2k/year). Same error range applies.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/570770
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.