# Lonely Mountains: Downhill

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 711540
- Developer: Megagon Industries
- Released: 2019 · Genre: Action · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: B (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.6k to $2.4k per month (mid $2.0k)
- Opportunity score: $2.6k/month at x1.30 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 109.0k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $468.2k
- Review sentiment: 91% positive across 3074 reviews (2724 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 18.3 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 8 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 34 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 10 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $3.6k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.1k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $2.8k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.0k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

51, 27, 23, 34, 40, 25, 24, 34, 23, 26, 17, 24, 25, 15, 11, 31, 40, 19, 23, 15, 22, 17, 15, 18

## Estimated acquisition range

$47.3k to $94.5k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $23.6k/year). Same error range applies.

## Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Lonely Mountains: Downhill is a stylized single-player mountain-biking game combining tight controls, beautiful art, and progressive difficulty across varied trails.

This title sits in a strong position for a dormant-catalog acquisition or publishing refresh. It has shipped 109k units lifetime, maintains 90%+ positive sentiment, and generates $1.97k/mo residual revenue despite zero marketing for 8+ months and developer silence. The core complaint, camera angle in tight sections, is mechanical and fixable; the game's art, controls, and level design are widely praised. For a publisher with indie-game distribution reach or a studio seeking a quality asset with modest revival costs, this represents low-hanging fruit at $19.99 positioning.

- Most realistic play: acquisition
- Risk (tech): Performance and camera-perspective complaints suggest optimization or design debt that may require engineering investment to unlock higher sales velocity.
- Risk (market): Niche genre (pure mountain-biking sim) and 34+ months post-launch mean mainstream audience discovery is largely exhausted; revival requires targeted positioning.
- Risk (other): Developer (single-title studio) has been silent 8+ months; acquisition may require ramp-up of live support or content to re-engage dormant players.

What players are asking for:
- Camera-angle refinement, especially for steep/tight descents where depth perception matters
- Optimization for high-refresh-rate monitors (144hz+) to eliminate FPS drops during camera movement
- Modding tools or mod support to allow community customization and extend replayability

Suggested first moves:
1. Audit codebase for performance bottlenecks (GPU/CPU profiling on high-refresh displays) and camera system; cost a 2-4 week optimization pass to unlock frame-rate stability.
2. Conduct player survey on camera angles in top 20% hardest trails; a soft redesign (clamping, FOV tweaks, or optional third-person toggle) may be quick win for retention and reviews.
3. Soft launch a content update (1-2 new trails, cosmetics, or seasonal leaderboard) to test community response and measure revenue lift; use learnings to scope full revival roadmap and publishing partnership.

Generated 2026-08-20 from public signals and player reviews. Directional, not diligence.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/711540
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.