# Little Misfortune

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 714120
- Developer: Killmonday Games AB
- Released: 2019 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $19.99
- Deal grade: A (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $10.7k to $16.1k per month (mid $13.4k)
- Opportunity score: $20.1k/month at x1.50 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 468.4k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $2.0M
- Review sentiment: 92% positive across 14078 reviews (11709 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 124.8 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
- Last build shipped 7.0 years ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 5 sales in the last 12 months
- Proven demand elasticity: x1.5 review velocity during past deep sales

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $24.3k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $21.2k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $19.2k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $13.4k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (24 months)

167, 158, 139, 194, 246, 163, 88, 155, 87, 80, 97, 229, 92, 91, 185, 166, 180, 194, 107, 146, 106, 84, 101, 205

## Estimated acquisition range

$321.8k to $643.7k (2-4x the trailing net annuity of $160.9k/year). Same error range applies.

## Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

A 2019 point-and-click adventure with dark humor and emotional storytelling about a child navigating a surreal, troubling world, set in the Fran Bow universe.

Little Misfortune has generated $2M+ lifetime revenue on 468k units sold and maintains strong 92% positive sentiment, yet currently earns only $10.7k-$16k/mo in residual revenue. The title benefits from cult recognition (especially among Fran Bow players), sustained review activity (125 reviews/mo), and a narrative-driven experience that translates well to content platforms. For a publisher with anthology or horror-story IP portfolios, this quiet earner is a low-risk catalog acquisition that can be revived through console ports, localization expansion (currently 7 languages), or bundling with the Fran Bow franchise.

- Most realistic play: acquisition
- Risk (market): Heavy reliance on YouTube/TikTok discovery and word-of-mouth; player perception that choices are cosmetic may limit organic recommendation velocity.
- Risk (other): Indie authorship and niche dark tone make mass-market appeal unlikely; audience is concentrated in story-focused, horror-adjacent demographics.

What players are asking for:
- Ability to replay or jump to specific story sections to collect remaining achievements
- Longer game runtime and deeper branching consequences for player choices
- Console ports (Nintendo Switch, PlayStation, Xbox hinted in player commentary)
- More substantive horror elements and less juvenile humor

Suggested first moves:
1. Audit current console port feasibility and timeline; Switch and PlayStation releases would directly address player demand and expand the $13.4k/mo residual into new storefronts.
2. Map Fran Bow IP crossover potential: confirm ownership, test bundle strategy (franchise collection at discount), and evaluate rights to co-market the two titles as a universe.
3. Analyze localization ROI: 7 languages vs. European and Asian markets; focus on territories where dark indie adventure performs well (Germany, France, Japan) to justify 8-10 additional language additions.

Generated 2026-08-20 from public signals and player reviews. Directional, not diligence.

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/714120
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.