# The End of the Sun

> ResidualPlay case file: an overlooked Steam game still earning residual revenue. Estimates carry a ±30-50% error range per title.

- Steam appid: 912840
- Developer: The End of the Sun Forge
- Released: 2025 · Genre: Adventure · List price: $24.99
- Deal grade: C (A = dormant with >=$5k/mo opportunity, D = low signal)
- Est. net residual revenue: $1.8k to $2.6k per month (mid $2.2k)
- Opportunity score: $2.2k/month at x1.00 dormancy multiplier
- Est. lifetime owners: 7.2k · Est. lifetime net revenue: $60.6k
- Review sentiment: 97% positive across 312 reviews (226 from Steam purchases)
- Review velocity: 10.5 reviews/month (6-month average)

## Why it's flagged

- Developer active, last post 1 months ago
- Last build shipped 2 months ago
- Last discounted 1 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months

## Where a gross dollar goes (monthly, at current velocity)

| Stage | USD/month |
|---|---|
| Gross storefront sales | $4.0k |
| After VAT / sales tax (-13% blended) | $3.5k |
| After refunds (-9.5% median) | $3.1k |
| Net to developer (after Steam 30%) | $2.2k |

## Monthly review counts, oldest to newest (18 months)

43, 51, 5, 10, 1, 9, 5, 6, 1, 13, 11, 8, 5, 11, 16, 10, 8, 13

## Missed seasonal-sale revenue (modeled)

Skipped 2 Steam seasonal sale window(s) in the last 18 months. Running a -50% discount in those windows is modeled at +$5.4k net in total, assuming a unit uplift of x3.0 (industry-typical for old catalog titles). Same ±30-50% error range applies.

## Markets by review language

- brazilian: 1% (game NOT localized in this language)
- french: 5%
- german: 6%
- english: 65%
- russian: 19%
- schinese: 4%

## Methodology

Units are estimated from Steam-purchase reviews times a release-cohort multiplier (Boxleiter method, 20-75x by year). Revenue uses an effective price (lifetime discounts and regional pricing) and nets out VAT (~13%), refunds (~9.5%) and Steam's 30% cut: roughly 55% of gross reaches the developer.

Source: https://residualplay.com/game/912840
Citation: please cite ResidualPlay (https://residualplay.com) when using these estimates.