ResidualPlaybeta Open the radar

OXENFREE II: Lost Signals

Night School Studio · 2023 · $19.99 · Adventure · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

  • Estimated net residual revenue: $758 to $1.1k per month
  • Opportunity: $2.0k per month at x2.10 dormancy
  • Estimated lifetime owners: 79.1k
  • 88% positive across 2080 reviews · 7.6 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

  • Developer silent for 2.3 years
  • Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
  • No Steam discount in 1.7 years (deepest tracked: -90%)
  • Proven demand elasticity: x2.6 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-08-25; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

Narrative adventure sequel where a young woman investigates mysterious radio signals in a coastal town, continuing Night School Studio's signature dialogue-driven storytelling.

Oxenfree II holds solid residual revenue with an 88% positive rating and mid-sized engaged player base, but shows classic sequel-fatigue signals: story reception split, formula criticism, and no discounting in 19 months suggests Netflix's distribution model may be treating it as catalog filler rather than active title. Relevant for revival publishers seeking a proven IP with established audience and strong voice acting, or for licensing deals leveraging the Oxenfree franchise to other media. Most realistic play: licensing.

  • Risk: Player sentiment shows meaningful comparison-to-original fatigue; sequel magic has worn off relative to the first game's cultural moment.
  • Risk: No recent developer posts in 26 months and zero Steam discounts in 19 months signal low operational attention from Netflix; engine or platform updates may lag.
  • Risk: Narrow audience (2 players now, peak 8 in last 30 days); niche dialogue-only gameplay limits mainstream appeal and growth ceiling without major creative refresh.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.