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MXGP 2021 - The Official Motocross Videogame

Milestone S.r.l. · 2021 · $39.99 · Racing · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-09-24 11:01 UTC, 11 days ago. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

  • Estimated net residual revenue: $2.0k to $3.0k per month
  • Opportunity: $4.0k per month at x1.60 dormancy
  • Estimated lifetime owners: 46.6k
  • 85% positive across 1276 reviews · 10.1 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

  • Developer silent for 2.3 years
  • Studio active elsewhere (38 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
  • Last discounted 0 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months
  • Proven demand elasticity: x1.5 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-09-14; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

MXGP 2021 is an officially licensed motocross sim from the studio behind the annual MX franchise, targeting enthusiasts who prefer its physics and track variety to newer entries.

This 2021 title maintains solid monthly residuals despite zero promotional activity in 12 months and a current player base under 20, suggesting a stable niche audience willing to pay full price. The 84% positive sentiment, Brazilian-language dominance in reviews, and comparisons to pricier competitors indicate a "budget alternative" positioning that remains defensible. For a sports-license publisher or sim-focused acquirer, the dormant title represents an opportunity to reinvest marketing spend, localize further, or fold it into a subscription service; the core appeal to motocross sim fans appears durable rather than expired. Most realistic play: publishing.

  • Risk: MXGP trademark and athlete likenesses are tied to FIM (Fédération Internationale de Motocyclisme) annual licensing; rights renewal or termination will dictate commercial viability beyond current term.
  • Risk: Zero discounts in 12 months and elasticity of -1 suggest price sensitivity is low but also that no acquisition path is primed; reviving demand may require aggressive promotional spend to compete with MXGP 2024.
  • Risk: Localization gap of 23% (mainly Brazilian Portuguese) points to untapped regional revenue; closing that gap requires investment and cultural market knowledge.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.