Paper Trail

Newfangled Games · 2024 · $19.99 · Adventure · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-09-23 17:20 UTC, 12 days ago. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

Estimated net residual revenue: $1.5k to $2.3k per month
Opportunity: $2.6k per month at x1.35 dormancy
Estimated lifetime owners: 29.3k
95% positive across 977 reviews · 13.1 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

Developer silent for 12 months
Studio quiet across its whole catalog
Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months
Proven demand elasticity: x1.4 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-08-25; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

A meditative paper-folding puzzle game with hand-crafted origami mechanics, soothing art direction, and a contemplative story wrapped in physical puzzle-book aesthetics.

Paper Trail is a quiet success that has maintained solid residual revenue on a tiny concurrent player base, suggesting strong word-of-mouth appeal and high replay value within its niche audience. The game's 95% positive rating, compact scope, and single-developer studio make it an attractive candidate for publishing rights acquisition or platform expansion, though its indie production status and limited mainstream reach mean modest absolute scale. Best suited for partners seeking to develop a cozy-puzzle franchise, expand into Asia markets (significant Chinese and Korean review volume), or add a high-quality indie title to a catalog strategy. Most realistic play: publishing.

Risk: Puzzle-game market is crowded; growth beyond current engaged base will require active marketing, influencer seeding, or platform featuring.
Risk: Origami-folding mechanics have a natural skill ceiling that may frustrate some players; hint system helps but cannot reduce fundamental accessibility ceiling.
Risk: Developer has posted only once in the last 11 months; unclear whether studio is actively supporting the title or has moved on to new projects.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.