Fates: Determination

eXtasy Games · 2023 · $11.99 · Indie · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-09-30 16:08 UTC, 5 days ago. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

• Estimated net residual revenue: $287 to $430 per month
• Opportunity: $466 per month at x1.30 dormancy
• Estimated lifetime owners: 4.6k
• 71% positive across 121 reviews · 4.8 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

• Developer active, last post 5 months ago
• Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
• Store page localized in only 1 language(s)

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-09-11; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

A 2023 indie visual novel with branching narrative choices and hand-drawn animation, built around player agency and story outcomes.

Fates: Determination shows steady, quiet residuals on minimal promotion spend, with a devoted but small player base and 73% positive sentiment. The title is not a revival candidate, but warrants attention as a acquisition target for publishers seeking to build a mid-tier visual-novel catalog or those exploring how eXtasy Games' two-title portfolio might scale under dedicated marketing and localization investment, particularly in Chinese markets where the loc gap is largest. Most realistic play: acquisition.

• Risk: Median session length of 20 hours and absence of multiplayer means audience is narrow and retention-dependent on narrative replay value; sequel demand in reviews suggests franchise extension is expected, not the base game alone.
• Risk: No workshop support, trading cards, or discount history (zero promotions in 12 months) suggests limited engagement hooks; cloud save alone is minimal feature parity with peers.
• Risk: Developer last posted 4.4 months ago and current player count is minimal (2 concurrent); long content tail makes live-service evolution unlikely.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.