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GUILTY GEAR Xrd -SIGN-

Arc System Works · 2015 · $29.99 · Action · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-10-02 09:20 UTC, 4 days ago. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

  • Estimated net residual revenue: $523 to $784 per month
  • Opportunity: $1.1k per month at x1.60 dormancy
  • Estimated lifetime owners: 149.0k
  • 91% positive across 2818 reviews · 4.1 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

  • Developer silent for 10.7 years
  • Studio active elsewhere (19 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
  • Last discounted 3 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months
  • Proven demand elasticity: x1.7 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-08-25; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

GUILTY GEAR Xrd -SIGN- is a 2015 cel-shaded 2D fighting game by Arc System Works that marked the franchise's visual reinvention and remains a canonical entry in the series.

This title generates solid three-figure monthly residuals with a persistently positive community (91% approval) despite minimal marketing or content updates in over a decade. The core appeal is historical: it's the visual and mechanical bridge between classic Guilty Gear and the current competitive ecosystem (Strive). For a publisher or IP steward, the opportunity lies not in revival (the installed base is stable) but in ensuring its preservation as a legacy title and potential licensing asset, especially given Arc System Works' proven track record with fighting-game longevity. Most realistic play: watch.

  • Risk: Concurrent players have dwindled to single digits; the playerbase is archival rather than growth-oriented.
  • Risk: No developer activity logged in over 126 months suggests the codebase is frozen, raising questions about long-term platform compatibility.
  • Risk: Presence of 37 DLC SKUs across a small install base creates fragmentation and potential delisting or licensing complications if Arc System Works changes strategy.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.