Bakery Simulator

Live Motion Games · 2022 · $15.99 · Casual · deal grade B

• Estimated net residual revenue: $2.2k to $3.4k per month
• Opportunity: $4.2k per month at x1.50 dormancy
• Estimated lifetime owners: 69.2k
• 66%% positive across 2408 reviews · 28.2 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

• Developer active, last post 7 months ago
• Studio active elsewhere (5 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
• Last build shipped 4.2 years ago
• Last discounted 0 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months
• Proven demand elasticity: x1.7 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

A casual bakery management sim where players run a bakery business, selling goods to NPCs in a small city economy.

Bakery Simulator has earned $276k lifetime on modest sales (69k units) and maintains $2.8k/mo residual revenue despite sitting at 93% discount. The 66% positive rate and steady 28 reviews/mo suggest a stable, if small, player base willing to engage at impulse-price. The core appeal (relaxing sim with light business mechanics) is evergreen, but physics bugs and poor baseline design limit upside without substantial engineering work. Best viewed as a dormant catalog hold generating passive cash rather than a revival candidate. Most realistic play: watch.

• Risk: Multiple reports of physics bugs (floating/trapped dough) that block mission completion; no meaningful dev activity in 7 months suggests unfixed technical debt.
• Risk: Chronic 93% discount dependency; baseline $15.99 price point appears unsustainable, indicating weak organic demand outside sales.
• Risk: 24-month sales velocity highly volatile (176 down to 18, then back to 66), suggesting weak franchise loyalty and sensitivity to external promotional events rather than gameplay merit.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50%% error per title.