MELTY BLOOD: TYPE LUMINA

FRENCH-BREAD · 2021 · $49.99 · Action · deal grade A

Estimated net residual revenue: $16.0k to $24.0k per month
Opportunity: $26.0k per month at x1.30 dormancy
Estimated lifetime owners: 291.0k
89%% positive across 10562 reviews · 64.2 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

Developer active, last post 1 months ago
Studio active elsewhere (4 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
Last build shipped 27 months ago
Last discounted 0 months ago, 8 sales in the last 12 months
Proven demand elasticity: x1.7 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

A 2D anime fighting game built on the Tsukihime visual-novel IP, featuring fast-paced rushdown mechanics and a devoted but geographically fragmented playerbase.

TYPE LUMINA has generated $3.6M lifetime on 291k units and maintains $20k/mo residual revenue despite minimal marketing lift and zero discounting in the past two weeks. The franchise is owned by Type-Moon, a major Japanese IP holder, making standalone acquisition impossible; however, the strong 88% positive rating, active developer posting, and niche-but-loyal community suggest this title is an ideal candidate for a publishing partnership or regional expansion deal. Interest is highest among anime-fighting-game enthusiasts and casual couch-play audiences, not mainstream fighters. Most realistic play: publishing.

Risk: Game rights licensed from Type-Moon; any expansion, port or revival requires Type-Moon approval and likely revenue-share negotiation.
Risk: Matchmaking in low-population regions (e.g. Philippines) causes long queue times; server consolidation or rollback netcode upgrade would be needed to retain regional players.
Risk: Franchise brand is strong in Japan and anime circles but remains underground in North America and Europe; localization alone will not close the awareness gap.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50%% error per title.