ResidualPlaybeta

The Oregon Trail

Gameloft · 2022 · $29.99 · Adventure · deal grade B

  • Estimated net residual revenue: $2.9k to $4.4k per month
  • Opportunity: $4.7k per month at x1.30 dormancy
  • Estimated lifetime owners: 38.5k
  • 79%% positive across 1278 reviews · 19.5 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

  • Developer active, last post 9 months ago
  • Studio active elsewhere (3 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
  • Last build shipped 23 months ago
  • Last discounted 1 months ago, 9 sales in the last 12 months
  • Proven demand elasticity: x1.5 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

A 2022 Gameloft remake of the classic educational computer game The Oregon Trail, blending turn-based exploration, resource management, and minigames with pixel-art aesthetics.

The Oregon Trail sits at $3.6k/mo residual revenue on a modest $288k lifetime base, driven by strong nostalgia appeal (79% positive) and steady organic word-of-mouth. The title is quiet but stable: 9 promotions in 12 months, zero dev communication in 8+ months, and a 23-month-old build suggest Gameloft is in light-maintenance mode. For a publishing or revival partner, the opportunity lies in revitalizing community engagement (reviews holding steady at 19.5/mo despite dormancy) and testing expansion hooks: DLC, platform ports, or a bundle with the original MECC archive. Most realistic play: publishing.

  • Risk: The Oregon Trail intellectual property is owned by The Learning Company (successor to MECC); Gameloft holds only a license to develop and publish, narrowing scope for strategic acquisition or long-term IP control.
  • Risk: Price-sensitivity is acute: players consistently note the $30 MSRP feels high relative to perceived value, and the game thrives on discount sales (67% max recorded, 9 promotions per year).
  • Risk: No developer posts in 8.8 months and no platform expansion since launch suggests the title is not receiving active feature development, creating risk of stagnation if community expectations evolve.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50%% error per title.