Hot Lava

Klei Entertainment · 2019 · $19.99 · Action · deal grade B

Measured on 2026-10-04 19:06 UTC. The whole catalog is re-measured daily; a game that just launched can move fast between passes.

• Estimated net residual revenue: $1.6k to $2.5k per month
• Opportunity: $3.3k per month at x1.60 dormancy
• Estimated lifetime owners: 214.0k
• 93% positive across 6175 reviews · 19.0 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

• Developer silent for 3.0 years
• Studio active elsewhere (10 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
• Last discounted 0 months ago, 7 sales in the last 12 months
• Proven demand elasticity: x1.6 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

Note written 2026-08-25; the live figures above take precedence over any numbers in it.

A parkour platformer built around the childhood "floor is lava" concept, with open-ended level design and cozy aesthetics.

Hot Lava generates solid residual revenue with a small but stable player base and strong sentiment among those who engage with it. The high positive ratio and median playtime suggest strong retention hooks, but minimal developer communication over three years and infrequent discount activity indicate the title is in quiet maintenance mode. Klei Entertainment's ownership means acquisition is unlikely; publishing or revival support would only make sense if a content roadmap could rebuild momentum in a crowded parkour market. Most realistic play: watch.

• Risk: Parkour and platformer genres are saturated on Steam; player discovery has clearly plateaued despite positive sentiment.
• Risk: Developer silence for 35 months suggests either resource constraints or strategic deprioritization; revival would require external investment and roadmap clarity.
• Risk: Very small active player base now (6-18 concurrent) limits multiplayer network effects and organic word-of-mouth growth.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50% error per title.