Tails Noir

Eggnut · 2021 · $24.99 · Adventure · deal grade B

• Estimated net residual revenue: $2.6k to $3.9k per month
• Opportunity: $4.9k per month at x1.50 dormancy
• Estimated lifetime owners: 82.6k
• 67%% positive across 3465 reviews · 20.8 reviews/month

Why it's flagged

• Developer active, last post 4 months ago
• Studio active elsewhere (2 titles tracked), so this one may welcome a partner
• Last build shipped 3.0 years ago
• Last discounted 1 months ago, 11 sales in the last 12 months
• Proven demand elasticity: x2.0 review velocity during past deep sales

Analyst notes (AI-assisted)

A narrative adventure game with noir aesthetic and deduction puzzles that launched in 2021 to mixed reception around story structure.

Tails Noir has generated ~$514k lifetime on 82.5k units sold, with a modest $3.2k/mo residual revenue stream. The core tension is execution: the art direction and early puzzle design attracted players, but narrative coherence issues in Act II created persistent negative word-of-mouth that suppressed full-price sales (66.9% positive, $24.99 retail, high price elasticity of 2.01). Revival is unlikely without narrative rework; acquisition only makes sense if Raw Fury/Eggnut retain IP and a developer is willing to substantially rewrite the second half. Most realistic play: watch.

• Risk: Narrative structure issues documented across multiple reviews suggest fundamental story design flaws that no marketing campaign can overcome; fixing requires authorial rework.
• Risk: 36+ months since launch with no developer posts in ~4 months; small studio (1 title) signals low capacity for updates or live support.
• Risk: High elasticity (2.01) indicates customers perceive the $24.99 price as significantly high; discounting to ~$10-15 may unlock volume but erodes margin on residual stream.

This case as Markdown · Estimates carry ±30-50%% error per title.